The analytics advantage: powering smarter airport decisions
Demand for aviation services is growing. Global passenger traffic is anticipated to grow to . Across 2026, 10.2 billion people are expected to take to the skies. But meeting this growth is only part of the challenge. Airport leaders must balance how precisely they meet this forecasted demand through expansions and modernisation initiatives, in conjunction with the continuous operational and commercial pressures of an airport鈥檚 day-to-day activity. Operators now face decisions that could unlock future capacity 鈥 or if they get it wrong, constrain growth.
In this environment of competing pressures, operators need evidence鈥慴ased clarity from the very start of the decision鈥憁aking process. Passenger movement analytics provides that early visibility.
For airport leadership teams, analytics is less a technical capability and more a way to shape decisions at the start of the process. Airport analytics stress-test growth plans, protect continuity during change and prioritise investment in the areas that deliver measurable performance and revenue outcomes.
Evidence-led choices around operational performance, terminal design, people flow, passenger behaviour and capacity planning reduce the risk of decisions that constrain future growth.
The power of airport analytics
How can airports make smarter, faster, more confident decisions in a highly constrained, high鈥憇takes environment? Operators rely on information and data to inform those decisions and ensure efficiency and quality of service. Without data driven foresight and specific insights, operators risk making expensive, inefficient or growth limiting decisions.
Design and operational choices impact the systems and complex flows within airports. Analytics into people flow offer a way to turn design and operational options into comparable choices, clarifying trade-offs and protecting service levels and commercial performance while mitigating against disruption.

With mounting pressure to expand capacity while minimising disruption, let鈥檚 look in detail at three key challenges that airport operators face (capacity uplift, how to maximise revenue opportunities and passenger experience) 鈥 and how data and analytics support in making critical decisions.
1. Capacity uplift
As passenger volumes grow, operators must expand without impacting on throughput, creating bottlenecks or committing to design choices that later prove inefficient. Traditional design methods often rely on assumptions that are hard to validate early, creating risk when airports can least afford it.
But early-stage visibility planning and optioneering, powered by analytics, allows for passenger behaviours to be measured and modelled. By testing a variety of specific scenarios, analysts can work out optimal terminal layouts and infrastructure sizing 鈥 before committing to expensive construction decisions that will be costly or impossible to undo. Across check-in, security, passport control, retail spaces, passenger lounges and departure gates, this information has real power.
Roberto Hernandez, associate passenger flow consultant at 海角视频, said, 鈥淪imulation software like 海角视频鈥檚 SmartMove, incorporates dynamic passenger鈥慺low simulations from the earliest stages of design, tests the feasibility of initial design concepts and assesses multiple design options against different demand scenarios.
鈥淲hat is key is the provision of evidence of the impact of walking distances, process capacities and expected comfort levels. SmartMove has been developed to enable faster testing of options and scenarios.”
Data provides a way to quantify the impact of each design choice, making complex terminal trade-offs transparent and actionable. Operators can have confidence in the how future demand can be planned, scheduled and paid for.
Dr Becky Hayward is associate director, analytics and crowd dynamics, at 海角视频. She said 鈥淭hrough running these simulations, we can very quickly say to clients: you鈥檙e currently running X million passengers per annum, but you could get that up by Y million if you make certain interventions targeted at alleviating bottlenecks (if you converted a bank of traditional check-in desks to self service kiosks, for example, or tapped into under-utilised areas).
SmartMove models real passenger behaviour under different scenarios, revealing where constraints will emerge and guiding client decisions that improve performance. Critically, it happens early on in the design process, before a spade goes in the ground.
Dr Becky Hayward, associate director, analytics and crowd dynamics, 海角视频.
2. Commercial insights and revenue optimisation
Construction for capacity upgrades, day-to-day maintenance or retail enhancements often triggers partial closures that reduce throughput and commercial revenue. Operators need ways to quantify the impact of these disruptions before committing to design choices.
Retail revenue depends on many factors including passenger demographics and numbers, , but construction or layout changes inevitably alter these variables.
Dedicated software can show where passengers walk and queue, how long they spend at security and at the departure gate, how much time is left for retail dwell and which layouts give the best visibility and access to shops. Becky said, 鈥淎s an example, with Smart Move, we can measure the footfall through retail and then change the configuration of duty free and see how that impacts potential footfall 鈥 and the revenue that is generated from those retail areas.鈥

When these commercial decisions are powered by data and analytics, they move from intuition or guesswork to data-backed choices that can be explained and justified, with impact measured. Operators can choose layouts that maximise commercial outcomes even during disruption.
Research in the shows that a 10% increase in passenger dwell time in the terminal is associated with a 6鈥8% uplift in retail and food and beverage revenues, underlining why passenger flow and dwell time are commercially material levers for airports.
An example of this in action is work from the 海角视频 airport analytics team when they supported a new retail area and circulation space at Hamburg Airport that would be effective for space utilisation, passenger comfort and retail visibility. A combination of static and dynamic simulation models for rapid design testing and comparison was developed using SmartMove. This included exploring maximising of retail visibility and enhancing passenger experience, potentially leading to better revenue opportunities.
3. How passenger experience 鈥 shaped by analytics 鈥 leads to positive business outcomes
From small airports to international hubs, the experience a passenger has is the key factor that encourages return visits, increases loyalty and generates greater revenue opportunities. Poor experiences jeopardise loyalty and reduce non鈥慳eronautical revenue.
High passenger experience scores are not a soft metric. Instead, they are a key indicator of commercial success. Happy passengers are more willing to put their hands in their pockets for non-airplane expenses. ACI World found that for every 1% increase in passenger satisfaction,
Data, analysis and modelling of passenger flow can shape the decisions that lead to reduced queue lengths and improved waiting times 鈥 leading to smoother passenger experience, with less uncertainty, lower risk of missed connections and a perception of a well鈥憁anaged airport, boosting brand and protecting reputation.
Becky Hayward said, 鈥淲e know that different passengers have a range of motivations and needs: some would rather get through security and head straight to their gate, others want to spend time in the shops or food + beverage , some may need to charge their devices or take a work call, or simply find a quiet spot to read their book and unwind before boarding. And importantly, passengers may also change their behaviour based on the level of queuing or congestion they experience along their journey.
鈥淲ith technology like SmartMove, we can incorporate this variety of passenger preferences into our models and test how different passengers respond to layouts, queue strategies and space allocations.
鈥淚t allows operators to see how behavioural patterns shift under different conditions, ensuring decisions enhance both passenger experience and commercial return.”
This is about using research and modelling to test and try out different configurations to optimise both the passenger experience and the opportunity to generate revenue鈥.
Dr Becky Hayward, associate director, analytics and crowd dynamics, 海角视频.
Unlocking capacity, revenue and resilience
An airport is a living system that feeds off data and intelligence to get it to perform at its best. Using an evidence-based approach to data translates to clearer planning, better passenger experiences and stronger commercial outcomes.
For airport leaders balancing growth, disruption risk and commercial performance, passenger movement analytics is a practical way to cut through complexity, enabling them to make better investment decisions earlier and reduce uncertainty.
As air travel evolves, airports will face a new level of complexity. Passenger growth will push capacity limits, making it essential for terminals to operate more efficiently while meeting stricter security expectations. Biometrics 鈥 particularly facial recognition 鈥 will become central to a seamless, low-friction journey, helping passengers easily move through check鈥慽n, bag drop, security, immigration and boarding with fewer delays and minimal stops.
But tools like biometric boarding gates and automated ID checks only work well if data can move quickly and reliably between airports, airlines and government databases. Without that, complexity increases and processing slows, eroding the efficiencies these technologies are aiming for.
With automation speeding up key steps, airports may be able to rethink how they use space that has traditionally used for manual processes like check-in halls. At the same time, sustainability, cybersecurity, workforce pressures and emerging aircraft technologies like electric and hydrogen flight will reshape expectations around infrastructure and operations. To find out more about how to plan with confidence, optimise operations and deliver measurable success, get in touch with our team.







